海角换妻

0:07 聽聽聽聽聽Kay Summers: From the School of International Service at 海角换妻 in Washington, this is Big World, where we talk about something in the world that really matters. The United States has long considered itself the world's bastion of democracy. However, independent analysis currently doesn't support that belief, and the Economist Intelligence Unit's annual Democracy Index has rated the US a flawed democracy for the past several years. In 2020's index, the US was rated 25th in the world, behind nations including Norway, Canada, and Costa Rica. Today, we're talking about democratic backsliding in the US. I'm Kay Summers, and I'm joined by Agustina Giraudy. Agustina is a professor in the School of International Service. She's the author of a couple of books, including one titled, "Democrats and Autocrats," which I'm sure we'll be drawing on today. Agustina, thank you for joining Big World.

1:00 聽聽聽聽聽Agustina Giraudy: Thank you, Kay. It's a pleasure to be here.

1:04 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Yes. This is going to be a great conversation. Agustina after the 2020 election, Politico asked you whether the US's institutions proved durable during the Trump years or whether they failed, and you gave the US system a grade of "C." So please tell me what led you to give us that somewhat mediocre grade?

1:26 聽聽聽聽聽AG: That's what our students would say.

1:28 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Yeah.

1:29 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So, basically when assessing the quality of democracy in any country, you would look at two different components at the very least, the electoral dimension of democracy and the liberal component of democracy. So, electoral component of democracy refers to basically the quality of elections, the attack on the integrity of those elections. And so, we saw that on that component, the US has been doing quite poorly. We should remember that Trump began to threaten the results of the elections back in 2016. So this was new, not only in 2020 and of course, then we have the 2020 elections in which he refused to concede. And in terms of the liberal component, we also see a very steep decline as well. Liberal component refers to checks and balances, and we see that encroachments and attacks on the media and on Congress and the Supreme Court and other branches at lower levels of government, at the state and local levels, were attacked during the Trump presidency.

2:46 聽聽聽聽聽AG: There is another aspect to consider when assessing democracy, which is how he treated the bureaucracy. And as we all know, the bureaucracy was packed with friends and family, and several departments were also severely attacked and monopolized by him, such as the Justice Department. So all those components were downgraded quite significantly and therefore I gave it a "C."

3:15 聽聽聽聽聽KS: So, you mentioned the cronyism and the nepotism and the bureaucracy. Political appointments are a part of our bureaucracy, of our state and national government. What was it that made the Trump appointees so different? Because I think there have been to greater or lesser degrees, there have always been examples of people in positions that they were unqualified for. Was it the extent to which that happened? Was it the critical mass of people? Was it the corruption or perceived corruption?

3:54 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Here, I would not say anything about competency, because maybe these people were very competent, but when thinking about how a precedent deals with the bureaucracy, there are two, at least in political science, two very different ways. One is the classical patrimonial nepotism way of appointing your bureaucrats. Another one is one based on legal rationale components. And what we see during the Trump administration, and this is comparable to what we saw in other countries, such as the Dominican Republic under the Trujillo government, for instance, is that the key post in the bureaucracy were appointed by family and friends, right? And not only that, there were huge bridges as well from technocrats with very long careers that were asked kindly, and sometimes not that kindly, to step down. And we have not seen that before in the US. So it's true as you said that every politician appoints loyalists, that is what politics is all about, but the extent in which this happened was quite different from what we had seen in the past, and very similar to what we would find in other countries, which have a more weakened democracy.

5:22 聽聽聽聽聽KS: So after four years of rhetoric and actions that many scholars have deemed damaging to American democracy, Donald Trump did lose the 2020 election. And as you mentioned, he refused to concede or commit to a peaceful transfer of power. And I think that up until then, this was just one more thing we'd always been used to in the US, the loser calls the winner, they say, "Congratulations, you won. Good luck." They get off the phone. They cry, do they do whatever they need to do. But it doesn't really serve any official purpose, and the constitution doesn't require it. So, why do you think that refusal of his to concede has been so damaging either to the democratic process or to the perceptions of it?

6:04 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Well, I think that what we saw starting again, and I don't want to focus only on the 2020 election, this started in 2016. Remember, when he was already threatening the integrity of the institutions back when he was competing against Hillary Clinton.

6:22 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Right. Mm-hmm (affirmative).

6:22 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So basically, Trump has had a tradition of eroding the integrity of democratic institutions. And this has huge implications for the trust of citizens on those institutions. Once you go down that route, it's very hard to come back. It's very, very hard to convince 70 million of Americans who believed that Trump's election had been stolen, that the next elections either at the local, state, or national level are going to be just and fair, right? And so, the damage might not be quite telling right now, but I see this as a huge problem for the future. And the example that comes to mind is that of Mexico.

7:09 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So, Mexico for 70 years was ruled by the PRI, which monopolized power. And there was a huge distrust in elections. That was one of the big problems of the Mexican political system. Those elections were rigged. They were very fraudulent. So it was the opposite of the US, but the point I want to make is that there was a lot of mistrust on elections, and it took quite a number of decades to restore that trust in elections. And it took the agreement of both the incumbent party and the opposition parties to create an independent oversight agency that would take care of elections so that these elections would be trusted again.

7:56 聽聽聽聽聽AG: This was achieved after several electoral cycles and here, maybe it's also important to focus beyond what Trump did, right? So it's not only Trump. Trump is gone, or I don't know, maybe he comes back, but for the time being, he's no longer an important actor as he was a couple of months ago. But you have the Republican Party who continues to mistrust and distrust those elections. And that to me is the most worrying part and the one that has the higher potential to damage the democratic process next year, the year after, even before 2024.

8:41 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And we know that sowing this type of doubt on election results is a tactic that is used by autocratic rulers, and I'm wondering if you could give us a greater sense of why this tactic is so successful? Why is it so easy to convince people that there's a large system, a conspiracy, that is against a person and all of their followers and why do they go back to this tactic again and again?

9:19 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Uh-huh (affirmative). I would say that the intention of autocrats is not to sow doubts on elections and the results, but to discredit elections altogether and especially elections that have not lent autocrats victorious. And here, there is something that distinguishes the US from other autocracies, which is that it's very rare to find an autocrat who loses an election. In this regard, Trump is very unique. Autocrats around the world, like Putin, Erdo臒an, Maduro, Fujimori in Peru in the 1990s, always, always systematically won elections. So, Trump is an exception to this rule. He is probably the first populist anti-democratic president who has lost an election.

10:13 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So, typically autocrats try to steal elections when they are weak. And this is what we have seen in the case of the US. So, I would say that autocrats, they only try to sow doubts and discredit elections when they are weak and the chances of them losing are very high. But what Trump did was quite the opposite of what other autocrats, strong autocrats, do around the world, which is that they continue to be in power for many consecutive terms. Here, I don't know if the US is going to have another autocrat in the future, but this autocrat, if we want to call him like that, who was in power was a rather weak one, even though he did a lot of damage, of course, but he was relatively weak compared to other autocrats.

11:15 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Agustina Giraudy, it's time to Take Five. This is when you, our guest, get to daydream out loud and change the world as you'd like it to be by single-handedly instituting five policies or practices that would change the world for the better. We're talking about nothing less than the future of democracy in the US. So, what are the first five things you would do to help mend American democracy?

11:39 聽聽聽聽聽AG: First, I would get rid of the Electoral College. Second, I would get rid of the small state bias in the Senate. Third, I would strengthen democratic institutions at the sub-national level, that is at the state and local levels where I see the main threat to democracy today. Fourth, I would increase the number of political parties. This is the only democracy in the world that has this degree of religious, racial, and ethnic diversity, but it only has two political parties, and that would help to reduce the levels of polarization and also increase representation of all voices. Fifth, I would try to do as much as I can to advance the agenda on governance of the online platforms, broadly speaking. And six, if I may, Puerto Rico and DC need to become states.

12:37 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Wonderful. That's quite a list. People in Wyoming and the board of Facebook won't like it, but I like it. Thank you.

12:45 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Agustina on January 6th of this year, 2021, Trump continued this rhetoric at the Stop the Steal rally in Washington, DC, and we all are familiar with what happened there. After the deadly riot at the US Capitol that followed that rally, Trump was impeached in the House of Representatives on a charge of inciting an insurrection, but he was acquitted in the Senate on February 13th. In your opinion, what do the riot and then the subsequent acquittal of Trump, of basically the Senate saying, "Yeah, this was bad, but it wasn't bad enough for us to actually act." What do those two things together mean for this country going forward?

13:25 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So, first of all, I think that in particular, the riot, it showed that American democratic institutions can be attacked quite easily. I also think that it showed that democracy is not protected by the fact that there are strong institutions in this country, right? That democracy could be attacked. And we should not forget this happened in the country that has been celebrated as the oldest, strongest democracy in the world. And yet this happened. But I would like to put emphasis on two other aspects beyond Trump, because I feel that when we talk about democratic backsliding in the US, we tend to focus too much on Trump, which of course he did a lot of damage, but there are two other issues that I would like to highlight. First of all, the role of the Republican Party, and the second one is what's going on at the sub-national level, at the local and state level.

14:29 聽聽聽聽聽AG: So, regarding the first one, the role of the Republican Party, there is a lot of evidence and writing that the Republican Party has become an anti-democratic party. We should not forget that 147 Republicans in the House voted to overturn the elections results on January 6th. And later on, as you said before, we have a bunch of senators who acquitted the president. The anti-democratic role of the Republican Party and of those elected politicians is something that we should watch with some concern, not because of ideological reasons, right? So, we can have different ideologies, Democrats and Republicans, but there is a consistent anti-democratic stance by the Republican Party, by those politicians who are elected that is a worrisome, not only to me, to many other scholars as well. And related to that, Trump is gone. So, it seems that the American democracy has endured, but yet when we look at what's going on at the state level, things are not that good honesty.

15:48 聽聽聽聽聽AG: And actually, if we look back at what state legislators have been doing since November, we should not forget that the majority of the state legislators have been won by Republicans, we see a lot of bills that have been passed to systematically erode the quality of democratic institutions, from voter suppression, to preventing people to protest in the street, the bill that was passed by the Kentucky Senate. So, there are a bunch of initiatives at the state level that are contributing to democratic backsliding in this country. So, I think that the discussion should move beyond Trump and look at the parties that we have, and also the politics at the sub-national level.

16:38 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And I think that is another indication of a trend in the US, we've talked on previous episodes of the podcast with other guests about the imperial presidency and the move of the US towards this presidency that seems a bit more powerful than maybe the founders intended. Nonetheless, the conversation does tend to get laid at the president's feet, whoever he is, and it's always been a he until now, but at some point it won't be. So given all that, and that President Biden has come in with a to-do list that I think rivals any previous president. There have been presidents who came in in times of great hardship and strife, but I don't know that "saving democracy" was necessarily on many of their lists, but it's on his. So, what can President Biden do in your opinion, to help alleviate the damage that's been done to American democracy during his predecessor's tenure? And then a little bit larger, how can the new Biden administration, the larger group of people, help restore democratic norms in this country?

17:45 聽聽聽聽聽AG: That's a great question. I don't know if I'll have an answer, but I think that first thing that he has to do is to renew confidence and trust in political institutions. And how? By being transparent, by telling the truth, by having an open government that is subject to scrutiny, and those are things that he has been emphasizing over and over again in the majority of the speeches that he has given. So, I think that recreating the trust on political institutions is key. A particular effort has to be put in making elections trustworthy again, and here, I would like to go back to the example of Mexico, in which this autonomous agency was created to protect the integrity of elections. It was an agency that was made up of experts, non-political actors, and eventually it recreated the trust on institutions. And then the other thing that I would like to highlight is the new bill that was introduced by the House, it's now in the Senate, which seeks to undo all the restrictions that states have imposed to restrict democracy.

19:04 聽聽聽聽聽AG: There is a lot that can be done at the federal level to prevent democratic backsliding at the state level. And so, this new bill, it aims for instance, to impose national requirements that weaken restrictive state voter ID laws. It mandates automatic voter registration. It also expands early and mail-in voting. So, there are a bunch of things that at the national level can be done to strengthen the institutions at the state level. I don't know if that bill is going to be approved by the Senate, probably not, but initiatives like this one can be very helpful to restore democratic norms in the country towards the future.

19:56 聽聽聽聽聽KS: So, for my last couple of questions, I will just admit that these are both really about making Americans feel better, which I know a lot of us would like to feel better after everything that's happened. Are there any aspects of democracy in the US that differentiate this country from other countries in which we see serious democratic backsliding? So are there other examples where we can say, we're doing better on some measures?

20:21 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Yes, there are. This country has an incredibly strong media that has weathered all the attacks that Donald Trump could possibly done. The media continues to be very strong, very diverse, of course. The strength of courts continues to be quite amazing. So, even though Donald Trump has packed the courts, both at the state level and the national level with loyalists, the courts continue to be very strong. So, I see some accountability there, that is very important and that we do not see in other countries where democracy is backsliding.

21:12 聽聽聽聽聽KS: So, we talked about the perceptions that there was something wrong with the election. And then we threw out the number of people that voted for former president Trump, more than 70 million people.

21:25 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Mm-hmm (affirmative).

21:26 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And how you, first of all, convince that number of people that something is corrupt? And then how do you then convince them that it's not? So, you mentioned the media, you mentioned the courts, and those are both institutions that big swaths of that Trump coalition feel are sort of not relevant or not valid on the face. So, how do you think it is possible, or is it possible, through our democratic institutions, through policy, through reform to convince people, to convince Americans that our system of government is sound and it's worth choosing? Because I think democracy is a choice, and everybody has to choose it every day. So how do we convince our fellow citizens to keep choosing it over the alternative?

22:27 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Yeah. I think that here, the key is to reduce polarization, right? So one of the distinctive features of the US, and this is not only a problem that we see in the US, we see this happening in Europe. We see this happening in Brazil. We see this happening in Argentina. The high levels of polarization that exist, those are probably the worst for democracy and they are the worst for convincing people that what they have been told is a lie. So, if I were to advise what to do in that regard, I would strongly tell whomever is in charge of that to try to really lower levels of polarization. And there are a couple of ways in which you can do that. So, one is to introduce more governance to the online world. I think that there are a bunch of things that need to be done on that area.

23:38 聽聽聽聽聽AG: There are other reforms in the party system that would be good to reduce levels of polarization and to make everybody feel more incorporated in the political arena. And therefore those people, once they feel that they are incorporated, they will start trusting the institutions. So, if I were to have a magic wand, that would be one, I would have more parties. So, I was very happy when I heard that Trump was going to have his own party, for instance.

24:10 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Mm-hmm (affirmative).

24:10 聽聽聽聽聽AG: I know that Republicans see this as a disadvantage, but that would be great in the same way that a split in the Democratic Party would be great, to have four parties that represent different ideologies. And therefore, everybody has a say in government and we can start trusting institutions again.

24:30 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Right. Agustina Giraudy, thank you for joining Big World to discuss democratic backsliding. It's been a pleasure to speak with you.

24:37 聽聽聽聽聽AG: Thank you, Kay.

24:39 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Big World is a production of the School of International Service at 海角换妻. Our podcast is available on our website, on iTunes, Spotify, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. If you'll leave us a good rating or review, it'll be like a popsicle that doesn't melt on your hand. Our theme music is, "It Was Just Cold" by Andrew Codeman. Until next time.

1:06 聽聽聽聽聽KS: So today we're talking about Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his outsized role in Israeli politics. We're talking about the Netanyahu effect. I'm Kay Summers, and I'm joined by Guy Ziv. Guy is a professor in the School of International Service and has worked at the US Department of State, on Capitol Hill, and for nonprofit organizations that promote American involvement in Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking. He's the author of Why Hawks Become Doves: Shimon Peres and Foreign Policy Change in Israel. Guy, thanks for joining Big World.

1:37 聽聽聽聽聽Guy Ziv: My pleasure, thanks for having me.

1:39 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Remote and socially distanced continue to be our watch words at this time. So we're recording from afar. So we're going to get right into it. Guy, Benjamin Netanyahu has been Israel's prime minister since 2009. But that wasn't the first time he was elected into the role, obviously. He also served as prime pinister from 1996 to '99 after the assassination of then-prime minister Yitzhak Rabin. For anyone unfamiliar with Netanyahu, can you briefly give some background on him, his party, and how he rose to power? He has quite an interesting background way before he was known globally.

2:17 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Netanyahu grew up in an ideologically right-wing home. It was a very ideological home. And by all accounts, it was his father, Benzion Netanyahu, who was a scholar and an activist, that had a huge impact on his worldview. This family adhered to the greater Israel ideology of the Revisionist Zionist movement, meaning that they rejected the notion of territorial partition and even territorial compromise. And so the idea of creating a Palestinian state, a land that belonged to the Jewish people, was simply unthinkable. And his party, the Likud party, which is long the dominant party in Israel, is based on this ideology even though today it's not quite as ideological.

3:06 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: There are tribal loyalties to this party and most Israelis identify as right wing, so naturally they'll vote for Likud in the elections. But back to Netanyahu, the closest person in his life was actually his older brother, Yoni, whom he lost in the famed hostage rescue operation at Entebbe and then decided to dedicate his life and his career to fighting terrorism and to securing Israel.

3:33 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: And his family spent many years in the United States, which is why Netanyahu speaks fluent English with an American accent, and it's his media savviness that helped get him into politics. He was discovered by another Israeli politician who was then a diplomat. He was the ambassador to Washington, Moshe Arens, who really recognized Netanyahu's media skills and decided to bring him on as the number two at the embassy. So Netanyahu is the most media savvy politician Israel's ever had. He's the master of the soundbite, and so not coincidentally, he's now the longest serving prime minister in the country's history.

4:13 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Often in the US at this point, we hear about how the military has become removed from typical American life because military service is not compulsory and people choose to make it a career, and those who don't, really rarely intersect with that life. Israel obviously has compulsory military service and Netanyahu having lost a brother in a military conflict. This is a different kind of personalization I think then we are used to with US politics for why he would feel as he does about security and why he might be such a hard liner, is that right?

4:49 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Netanyahu's hard-line attitudes stem from the ideology in which he grew up. But Israelis, most of them at least, serve in the army. And Netanyahu and his brother decided that they were going to not only serve but serve in the elite unit, Sayeret Matkal. So both of them served in that elite unit, and what's interesting is, in the future, the commander鈥擭etanyahu's commander, Ehud Barak, and some of the other people who led his units would challenge him in future elections. Barak, of course, defeated Netanyahu in the 1999 elections when he ran for reelection the first time.

5:30 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And you mentioned that election he was out of power for about a decade. When Netanyahu came back to power in 2009, he endorsed a two-state solution of a Palestinian state alongside Israel, but he did so under the condition that the Palestinian state would be demilitarized and that Palestinians recognized Israel as a state of the Jewish people. So since then, 11 years later, how has his stance toward a two-state solution shifted? And how has this shift impacted Israel and Palestinians specifically?

6:04 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: So I published a study on this very question in PSQ, Political Science Quarterly, last year, in which I show that Netanyahu's never truly embraced the two-state solution. He gave a historic speech at Bar-Ilan University in June 2009, but it was really a tactical maneuver. And it was done in response to pressure by President Obama. Netanyahu then adds conditions that would make it very difficult, if not impossible, for the Palestinians to accept. And then later on, he would come up with one excuse after another to ensure that it wasn't鈥攖hat it wouldn't be realized.

6:41 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Later on, he talked about a Palestinian state that wouldn't be fully sovereign. He talked about partial sovereignty. He talked about a mini state before he disavowed it altogether. And in contrast to his predecessors, he didn't negotiate earnestly in good faith because he never really believed in it. I should note though that nor does he support the so-called one-state solution for that matter either, which is popular in some circles today. Netanyahu doesn't really believe there is a solution. And even after all these years, he lacks a coherent vision. He sees himself as managing the conflict, not resolving it.

7:19 聽聽聽聽聽KS: What currently are Netanyahu's annexation plans for West Bank territory? And for those who are unfamiliar with the West Bank, what does that even mean when we talk about annexation of territory in the West Bank?

7:31 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: So the traditional idea, when we talk about a two-state solution, we're talking about the original idea that the British came up with in 1937, when they had the mandate in Palestine, which was to split the land and create a Jewish state alongside an Arab state for the Palestinians. That's known as the 1937 Partition Plan. A decade later, when the UN is in charge, or I should say after the British hand back the mandate to the United Nations, the UN comes up with its own partition plan. And this was the idea of preventing war from taking place. It's to have two states鈥攖o share the land, to share the territory.

8:17 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: This was something that Israel's founding father and first prime minister, David Ben-Gurion, supported. But it was rejected by the Arab leadership and so it never happened. And then there was a war and subsequent wars as well. For Netanyahu and his father, and by the way, his father, Benzion, who I mentioned earlier, he actually put out an ad, a full page ad in The Times鈥攊n The New York Times鈥攐pposing the partition, the UN partition idea. So this, again, stems, this goes way back鈥攖he opposition to the idea of compromising over territory.

9:00 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: So the idea of annexation is Israel won the war in 1967. There's been this occupation of territories, of Palestinian territories. But settlers regard it as their territories because it was biblically Jewish land. And so they disagree over who are the colonists here? Who are the indigenous inhabitants? And who really should be there? And obviously when you of mix religion and politics, invariably, you get tensions.

9:40 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Now, Netanyahu himself has never really been an enthusiastic supporter of this idea of annexation. And frankly, if he was, he would've done it a long time ago, or at least tried to do it a long time ago. But he's actually blocked such moves in the past. So why now? And here's where it's really important to bring in domestic Israeli politics, it's key. Netanyahu's base, and in particular the settlers and their lobby, is adamant about annexation. It's a very high priority for them, even though it's never been a priority for Netanyahu. And he's attuned to his base and he's sensed that when he was in trouble politically and legally, he needed to galvanize that base so that he can remain in power and obtain immunity from prosecution.

10:25 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: He announced his intention to annex unilaterally parts of the West Bank on the eve of the elections. He made all these dramatic statements on the eve of each of the three rounds of elections that took place last year. And he concluded that Trump and only Trump would really give him the go-ahead, which would enable him to deliver this gift to the settlers, and this would be solidifying his legacy. This would be the legacy that he would leave. But he miscalculated because he was met with, well, he was also met with bad luck in terms of timing because of the coronavirus. But there was also a huge international outcry. There was a major pressure campaign to stop it.

11:08 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Jordan and other friendly Arab allies made it crystal clear to the Trump administration and to the Netanyahu government that they were not going to be supportive of it. This could actually wreck the relationship and the peace treaty that Israel has with Jordan. And then the Trump administration started to get cold feet and decided to hold out for a while. And meanwhile, Israel has been hit really hard with a second wave of COVID, of the coronavirus. So the last thing on the minds of most Israelis is annexation. So for now it's off the table, but it's still on Netanyahu's agenda. And he understands that he won't be able to make these annexation moves if Biden defeats Trump. So there's a very narrow window in which he can do this.

11:57 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And I had read that there was even some internal resistance to this from the settlers themselves.

12:03 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: The settlers themselves have no internal resistance to the idea of annexation. They're all for it. What they don't like is the parts of the Trump plan that call for the creation of a Palestinian state. And so the idea here was you accept the Trump plan in its totality. You can't just accept parts of it that you like and discard the rest of it. Of course, the Trump plan isn't really much of a plan, and the Palestinians have rejected it, and it wouldn't really leave them with much of a state. It certainly wouldn't be a contiguous state or a sovereign state. And a big percentage of what would be their state would be turned over to the settlers. So it's really not much of a鈥擨 would say it's a nonstarter, the Trump plan, but that's why some settlers have opposed it. Others have supported it. And right now, as I said, it's off the table for the time being.

12:59 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And Guy, Israel has long been known as one of the strongest democracies, particularly in the Middle East, in their neighborhood of the world, as they like to say. And some of the base things that you need for a functioning democracy are a free press and rule of law, which we'll talk about in the next question. But first with the free press, Netanyahu has been known for his obsession with the press and aiming to control Israel's media. Two of the corruption charges he was indicted on are related to the media. How do you think Netanyahu, overall, has impacted Israel's press freedom?

13:34 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: When he lost the elections back in 1999, his reelection bid, he blamed it on what he felt was unfavorable media coverage鈥攂iased media coverage that had it out for him. And he reportedly told his associates that he needed his own media. And so he turned to the cosmetics billionaire Ron Lauder to buy a majority stake in what was then Channel 10. And years later, he turned to an even wealthier individual, the casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, who funded and founded Israel Hayom, which is the most widely read daily because it's free. And its growing impact actually led Freedom House to downgrade Israel's press to partly free in its 2015 report because it really has destroyed some of the competition.

14:31 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: And in the meantime, there have been additional media outlets that have been created to further Netanyahu's political agenda. For example, there's Channel 20, which is called The Heritage Channel, which is very supportive of Netanyahu and his policies and the right wing in general. And he's been so obsessed with the media that that obsession led him to keep the Communications Ministry for himself. He appointed himself as the Communications Minister and only in the wake of the criminal investigations was he forced to relinquish it. And even then, he gave it to his loyalists. So he still more or less controlled it even though he was no longer officially the minister.

15:16 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: And so two of the corruption cases involve offers that he gave, formal favors that he gave to these media tycoons in exchange for favorable news coverage. And so what's interesting here is that his obsession with the media hasn't just had a decidedly negative impact on Israel's democracy. It's this obsession that ironically may end his career and possibly land him in prison, depending on how the trial goes.

15:46 聽聽聽聽聽KS: And another one of those foundational pieces of democracy is rule of law. As we said, under Netanyahu, trust in Israel's Supreme Court has dropped, why has this happened? And what does that mean for Israel's democracy going forward?

16:00 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: So, Netanyahu's resorted to these populist devices to polarize society in order to ensure that he remains in power. And we are living in an era of populist nationalism, where there's a lot of anger at the elite. And as in many other countries that are experiencing this phenomenon, in Israel, the elite is seen as the left. And so the state's major institutions, what we might consider the gatekeepers of democracy, like the media, the courts, and the police, and even the army to some extent, they're all perceived as part of the elite. And what populist nationalists do is they downplay minority rights because they have this majoritarian conception鈥攖his idea that we should allow the public to decide. Let the people determine our future, not the judges who are not elected, not the media, nobody elects them, but the people. That's this majority, majoritarian idea of democracy.

17:04 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: And Netanyahu and his allies have stepped up these attacks on the courts now that his corruption trial is underway. So, for example, he's referred to his trial as a coup, an attempt to remove him from office since he couldn't be removed at the ballot box. And what we're seeing is Netanyahu and his supporters attempting to essentially delegitimize the courts and those other gatekeepers of democracy, similar to what Viktor Orb谩n and other populist nationalists in Europe and elsewhere have been doing.

17:42 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Guy Ziv, it's time to take five. This is when you, our guest, get to daydream out loud and reorder the world as you'd like it be by single-handedly instituting five policies or practices that would change the world for the better. We've been talking about Israel, but we're at a time where the upcoming US election looms large, what five practices would you institute to improve the US's global standing in the world?

18:06 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: First, we must abandon the president's America First mantra, which has sent the wrong message to the world and embrace instead a collaborative foreign policy approach. We're all in this together. Second, we must reaffirm our commitment to NATO and reassure our allies that they can rely on us. Third, we can begin to rebuild our global standing by renewing our leadership in tackling global issues, starting with climate change, which the Pentagon identifies as a national security threat. Fourth, we must take a forceful stance against egregious human rights violations and lead the effort to end genocide, beginning with China's genocide against the Uyghurs. And fifth, we should return to our traditional role of an honest broker in the Middle East by resuming US mediated peace talks between Israelis and the Palestinians, prodding both sides as needed to help realize the two-state solution before it's too late.

19:05 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Thank you. Since April of 2019, Israel has had three inconclusive elections, which sounds like a nightmare for the people who live there. Though Netanyahu has been indicted on corruption charges, he's still managed to strike a coalition deal with his opponent, Benny Gantz, after the third. And they now share power under a unity government. So Benny Gantz ran against Netanyahu during the elections vowing that he would never serve under Netanyahu as the prime minister, but there he is. He ended up agreeing to share power. How much of this move was spurred by the coronavirus crisis versus other political forces, and do you think that COVID-19 and the crisis鈥攑andemic has in any way served as a way to help Netanyahu stay in power? Even though his response has been criticized.

19:55 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: The coronavirus was the pretext for this government, what they call a national unity emergency government. What Netanyahu really had in mind was his own political survival. He's been involved in this ongoing effort to get immunity from prosecution, which he still hasn't gotten because he just doesn't have the number of votes he needs. Which, by the way, has as fueled speculation that he may even call for a fourth election in the near future if he doesn't get anywhere with Gantz. Now, Gantz, Benny Gantz, he's a new politician and a relatively naive one. So I believe that his intentions were less cynical, but he was gullible because he enters this government, again, thinking that they're going to make some big difference here in the fight against coronavirus. And maybe he also thought that he could have more influence from within the government than in the opposition.

20:51 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: But I say he was gullible because they created this rotation agreement that would, in theory, enable him to become prime minister in a year and a half replacing Netanyahu. But this is a commitment that Netanyahu has no intention whatsoever to keep. And I think maybe even Gantz is beginning to realize that as well. Nevertheless, for Netanyahu, this was a big political victory because he managed to not only form this government, but he managed to split the Blue and White party, which was the chief opposition, the party that finally threatened to destroy many years of Likud rule under his leadership. But this is a government that is bloated. There are 36 ministers and 16 deputy ministers. So that's unprecedented. Israel is now experiencing a second wave of the coronavirus, which is far worse than the original one. And so, not surprisingly, the government is at the moment very unpopular.

21:50 聽聽聽聽聽KS: The parallels with what we've seen in other countries, including and especially the US, are almost so obvious that it's just shocking. You include things like trying to have your own media and you could make a parallel with the US with Fox Media, or Fox News, which for better or for worse, the president appears to consider a media outlet that's in his court. Even some of the names are the same, Sheldon Adelson, obviously, a figure in US politics. And you talk about this shift towards populist nationalism worldwide. So where in your mind does Netanyahu fit in with this trend of world leaders edging away from traditional democratic norms? And if we're thinking about perhaps a democratic scale, that includes people like Poland's Duda and Russia's Putin, and Viktor Orb谩n, and Trump, where would you place Netanyahu and why?

22:48 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Netanyahu himself has evolved, I would say, in this issue, so he's become much more of a populist nationalist in recent years. He wasn't quite this bad early on, although he was always a divisive figure, but the populist legislation and rhetoric is something that we didn't quite see up until maybe five years ago. And so I would say he preceded people like Trump and Bolsonaro. At the same time, he's been adopting the same kind of rhetoric that some of these leaders are using. I mean, he never used to use the phrase fake news until he saw Trump using it. He never used to use the word witch-hunt until president Trump started using it. So he's definitely picking up things that he thinks could help him with his base.

23:42 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: And so that's why democracy activists and advocates are very concerned that Israel has been moving in a very illiberal direction in recent years with a slew of bills that are essentially anti-democratic, certainly anti-liberal, and not to mention the rhetoric, which is the kind of rhetoric that we hear from Duda, that we hear from Bolsonaro, and Duterte, and Erdo臒an in Turkey, and others.

24:14 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Guy, you mentioned earlier that in Israel, religion and politics tend to intersect pretty frequently. And I wonder, is Netanyahu a particularly religious person?

24:25 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: No, not at all. But his base tends to be more religious. Clearly there are a lot of secular people who support him as well. But if you're looking at the ideologues, the people who are behind the settler lobby for example, most of them are religious, and Netanyahu's well aware of it and very sensitive to that. More importantly, politically, he doesn't only need his base, he needs to make sure that the religious parties are unified in supporting him because you know you need a coalition government in Israel and he would have a very difficult time piecing together coalition without his "natural allies." Now who are the natural allies? They are the ultra-Orthodox parties, they're the settler party, which is currently called Yamina, they've changed their name a few times. They're right now sitting in the opposition, but they very well might join a coalition in the future. And so Netanyahu's very sensitive to this notion that he can't offend the religious, he can't afford to lose them in terms of political support that he needs from them.

25:41 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Guy, this will be the last question. We talked a little bit about how Netanyahu is and isn't ideologically driven in some of the policy choices he makes. But regardless, this shift has been slightly away from what we would consider democratic norms. Do you think that there's a way for the corrosion of Israel's democracy to be reversed with Netanyahu still in power? Or do you think that is something that can only take place with a new prime minister?

26:10 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: I think that, well, first of all, I think it would have to take place with a new prime minister. There's no way that this is going to be reversed at this point, given how desperate Netanyahu is to stay out of prison really, and try to avoid this trial. He's clearly not interested in preserving democracy at this point. He's interested in preserving his job, his career. What's problematic is that the opposition in Israel has traditionally been very weak for many years now. And so, unfortunately, and one might even say the same thing about Trump in the United States, he's a symptom of a larger problem. And the question is whether the "Democratic Camp" is going to be able to win this fight for Israeli democracy. And right now it's an uphill battle because there hasn't really been a strong leader who has emerged, who can take Netanyahu on.

27:16 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: So while you have these opposition politicians that accuse Netanyahu of corruption and say he needs to go and he needs to go to retirement. There are wider issues here that they haven't fully addressed that I think are problematic. So it may take years to rebuild and strengthen Israeli democracy. And my hope is that some of the centrist leaders who might have some influence in the near future, and I'm thinking Yair Lapid is one and maybe even Benny Gantz, will put democracy at the forefront of national priorities and will stop the corrosion of these attacks on the gatekeepers of democracy.

28:06 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Guy Ziv, thank you for joining Big World to discuss Benjamin Netanyahu. It's been a treat to speak with you.

28:12 聽聽聽聽聽GZ: Thank you so much.

28:13 聽聽聽聽聽KS: Just a note that we recorded this episode with Guy Ziv prior to the agreement between Israel and the United Arab Emirates that was signed on August 13th, 2020 in case you're wondering why we didn't mention it in our discussion. Big World is a production of the School of International Service at 海角换妻. Our podcast is available on our website, on iTunes, Spotify, and wherever else you listen to podcasts. If you'll leave us a good rating or a review, it'll be like finding that the release date for that new book you want to read is actually tomorrow. Our theme music is 鈥淚t Was Just Cold,鈥� by Andrew Codeman. Until next time.